Category Archives: Politics

Unemployment Rate Drops Further

Unemployment is a hot topic in pretty much every country in the world, especially for the United Kingdom. There is good news on this front though and the rate has fallen to 2.16m. Though this is still a large number, the number of people in work has risen by 345,000, which is actually a record.

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There are many people out there looking for work, and the latest rise is largely down to full time employment, rather than those who are self employed. This shows that there is now hope for the unemployed and the economy in general, but there’s certainly a long way to go.

The news is certainly a boost for the Tories and if this rate continues to fall prior to next year’s General Election, then you’d really expect the Conservatives to be favourites.

UKIP Study – General Election

A study has shown that UKIP will retain around 60% of the people planning to vote for them in this month’s elections for the general election in 2015.

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This is big news and it may be quite worrying for the likes of David Cameron, Ed Milliband and Nick Clegg. Nigel Farage has really picked up a large following since he became leader of the UK Independence Party, and he’s told the world of politics to expect an ‘earthquake’ in the European elections.
He has shown he can debate and many people would agree he came out on top recently in his European  election debate with Nick Clegg, and we may soon him take on the likes of Milliband and Cameron.

Supply Side Economics

Over the last century, much of the political debate within the western world has been revolving around two opposing theories – or at least seemingly opposing – about the way the economy works. The first, and what much of the “right” side of the political spectrum believes, is in trickle down economics, or supply side economics. Trickle down economics supposes that any wealth generated by and for the upper echolons of our society will eventually trickle down to lesser classes, i.e. rich people pay for things that poor people sell, therefore the money ends up spreading around the whole economic spectrum, and people with the means to generate wealth have the power to continue to do so, either due to tax breaks, or deregulation, or a combination of the two. While there is almost certainly some truth to this, there is a lot of opposition among the “left” to this viewpoint, in that they believe basing the entire economic-political agenda on this principle ignores a lot of distress caused by such an unfettered system.

An arguably opposing theory, seeks to bring us away from supply side economics, by suggesting that from whom the wealth enters the economy is immaterial to the growth we witness as a result. This is the keynesian model, which supposes that, particularly within the short term, increasing economic output through massive investments by the government will increase overall economic output, and essentially restart a stalling economy.

There are examples of both failing, with the disastrous results of deregulating the financial industry, and with work programs run by the governments the world over, which essentially paid people to do things which had no more value than just giving people the money.

The current economic climate within the western world isn’t very condusive to either theory, with the keynesian model exacerbating an already existing problem with government debt, and supply side economic proponents calling for greater and greater deregulation and tax cuts, which could also have disastrous results. Most successful economic turnarounds have used a combination of tax cuts with increases in targetted government investment.

In or Out – The EU Debate

A big part of the recent national discussion is the nature of the EU agreements, and whether they are benefitting the UK, or are a detriment to our way of life and economic growth. We’ve even seen two debates between the two most outspoken parties in this discussion, the Lib Dems, and UKIP, with most of the UK seeming to come down on UKIP’s side of the argument. This is bourne out in the majority of polls taken on the subject, although some of the more in-depth polls seem to indicate something different. While peoples opinions do seem to be strongly against the current EU relationship, they are also in favour of the general idea of what the EU represents, just not when they dictate rules and regulations to our businesses.

The effects of our leaving the EU are still unclear, and that hasn’t really been helped by the debates, as both parties seemed to be cherry picking data to support their own ideas, with the Lib Dems saying that all two million jobs dependent upon the commerce with the EU will be lost, and UKIP saying that we are more than able to go it alone.

The Build Up to the General Election

We may around a year away from the 2015 general election but things are certainly hotting up. There is more talk about UKIP (UK Independence Party) than ever before, and many people may opt to vote for this party if they want to opt out of the European Union.

Obviously Labour and the conservatives are still seen as the big two, with a huge following, and both of these parities has the potential to win the next election and the next months will be some of the most important in the run up to the 2015 election.

Election debates will soon be taking the media spotlight, and it may be a case of the closer we get to the election the more idea we have on which parties are the favourites, but so far it is looking like UKIP are competing with the Liberal Democrats, while they’re not quite ready for the big 2 (Labour and Tories) but only time will tell.